It would be a grand deceit for the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), to dream of winning in the South East, South West, South South and North Central parts of the country, in next year’s presidential election, former Governor of Ekiti Stat, Ayo Fayose has warned.
Fayose, who was one of the aspirants for at the party’s presidential primaries in May this year, where former Vice President, Atiku Abubakar, picked the ticket, is therefore proposing that the party must increase the intensity of work in this direction, including reconciling with aggrieved part chieftains, particularly the group of five governors, led by Nyesom Wike of Rivers State.
The group known as G-5, had emerged in the wake of Atiku, not only winning the primaries but picking Ifeanyi Okowa, Governor of Delta State as the running mate over Wike, said to be the choice of a committee set up by the PDP high command.
Wike, leading Governors Samuel Ortom of Benue, Okezie Ikpeazu of Abia, Seyi Makinde of Oyo, and Ifeanyi Ugwuanyi of Enugu, is insisting that the group would only accede to supporting Atiku, with the ouster of Iyorchia Ayu as the irreducible minimum.
Against this backdrop, Fayose, who spoke as a guest on Politics Today, a current affairs programme of Channels Television, whle also warning that the entrance of Peter Obi, the candidate of Labour Party (LP) into the race would greatly hurt the party, said the party, must attune itself to the reality on ground.
Hear him: “Let me give you an analysis. In the South-West, people might not like to hear this; but I don’t see how PDP will win. Anybody deceiving us can continue to deceive us.
“I don’t see how PDP will win in the South-East. South-south will be a combination of all interests. Let me come to the key states of the north. Without deceiving ourselves, there is so much work to do in the North Central.
“PDP and APC did not pick any candidate, either presidential or vice-presidential, from the North Central. The North East is where the vice-presidential candidate of APC comes from.
“We will give Adamawa state to our party. Don’t forget there is still another Kwankwaso who is a semi-cancer that can equally upstage figures in the north. Reconciling or negotiating with Obi will be a good thing and finding a way to make peace with these Wike people will be a good thing too.”
BREAKING: North will make me President – Tinubu *I’ve a pact with N-governors
Amid permutations ahead of the 2023 general elections, the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Tinubu is banking on his alliance with some outgoing northern governors to get votes in the region.
At the Teslim Balogun Stadium in Lagos State on Saturday during a rally, Tinubu boasted that his alliance with the governors of Kano, Katsina, Kaduna, Kebbi, Kwara, and Plateau will deliver for him the bulk of the votes he needs to outsmart his main opponents including Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), and Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria People’s Party (NNPP).
Tinubu’s statement comes five months after about 10 northern governors backed his candidacy at a keenly contested primary in June.
“Can you see the governors of Kano, Katsina, Kaduna, Kebbi, Kwara, and Plateau?” Tinubu asked a crowd of APC supporters decked up in party paraphernalia on Saturday.
“We won’t lose any of the states. We will govern this country together. They are here in Lagos to show their support for me,” he added in Yoruba.
The governor of Lagos from 1999 to 2007 also urged the party’s supporters to get their Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs) and vote for him at the February polls.
In attendance at the rally include APC National Chairman, Abdullahi Adamu; Speaker of the House of Representatives, Femi Gbajabiamila; Minister of Works and Housing, Babatunde Fashola; Lagos State Governor Babajide Sanwo-Olu and his deputy, Obafemi Hamzat; amongst other APC stalwarts.
Historically, since Nigeria’s return to democracy in 1999, the northern region of the country had the highest voter turnout at presidential elections and the top contenders for Aso Rock’s top job in 2023 have since pitched their tents to win over most of the 19 states in the region.
For instance, Kano had over 1.8 million cumulative votes – the highest by any state in the 2019 presidential election. The state has witnessed some of the highest defections amongst PDP, NNPP and APC of late. Kano is home to Governor Abdullahi Ganduje, a Tinubu ally; Ibrahim Shekarau, an Atiku supporter; as well as Kwankwaso, who relies on his base and socio-political movement, Kwankwasiyya to get votes in the north.
Also during the 2019 presidential election, Kastina and Kaduna polled 1.5 million separate votes, Plateau with over 1 million votes, Kebbi with a total of 650,000 votes, and Kwara with a paltry over 400,000 total votes – all mainly shared between the APC’s Muhammadu Buhari and PDP’s Atiku Abubakar. Other states with heavy numerical voter strength based on past elections include Jigawa, and Bauchi, amongst others.
At the last election, Kastina-born Buhari won 19 states, many of which were northern APC states while Adamawa-born Atiku won 18 states – with a total of 15 million to 11 million votes respectively.
According to Section 34 of the Independent National Electoral Commission’s (INEC) Regulations and Guidelines for the conduct of elections, a presidential candidate can only be announced as the winner if he or she “has the majority of votes cast at the election; and has not less than one-quarter of the votes cast at the election in at least two-thirds of all the States in the Federation and the Federal Capital Territory, Abuja.” This means that a candidate must get 25% of votes in 24 states across the Federation to win a presidential election.
At the moment, APC controls 21 states with the exclusion of Osun which will become a PDP state on Sunday, November 27, 2022, when Ademola Adeleke is sworn in. Similarly, PDP controls 13 states as of press time while the All Progressives Grand Alliance (APGA) controls Anambra State.
However, Tinubu is confronted with a major hurdle due to his choice of Kashim Shettima, a former governor of Borno State, and fellow Muslim as running mate, a development that has been rejected by Christian groups and leaders.
Also, there are fears that the intra-party squabbles between the G5 led by Governor Nyesom Wike of Rivers State and Atiku over the chairmanship of Iyorchia Ayu would affect the chances of the PDP presidential candidate at the polls next February. A former national chairman of the APC, Adams Oshiomhole recently said the neutrality of the G5 is good for Tinubu’s chances.
On the other hand, Tinubu faces a new challenger in the game – Obi – a new bride and darling of many Nigerian youths who are tired of the two dominant parties – the PDP and the APC.
Obi and his running mate, Datti Baba-Ahmed, have vowed to push out the APC from Aso Rock. “Whoever thinks that Labour Party or Obi-dient movement or Peter Obi as an individual is not being welcomed in the north, they are making a huge mistake,” Baba-Ahmed had said.
Although at least three polls have put Obi ahead of other candidates, only time will unveil the winner of the February 25, 2023, presidential election.
Culled from Channels TV
Obi’s plane didn’t crash – LP *FG yet to explain reason for grounding it
Peter Obi, his supporters and the Labour Party (LP), are currently in a situation of confusion as to the reason the Federal Government, refused its branded campaign plane was refused to take off on a day it planned campaign trip to Ibadan, the Oyo State capital.
The government, is said to have remained silent n why it grounded the Obidient Aircraft or Obidient Plane, acquired by the Labour Party Presidential Candidate for the 2023 election, according to the media office, which disclosed this in a statement.
The statement, signed by Diran Onifade, Head of Media of Obi-Datti Campaign Organisation, however, quoted the leasing vendor as saying: “Federal authorities won’t allow the Obidient Aircraft to file a flight plan, because of ongoing regulatory investigations,” adding that the campaign was surprise over the development, as it was “not privy to the specific details or nature of the investigations.”
The statement reads: “The Obi-Datti Media Office has expressed surprise at the yet to explained grounding of its campaign aircraft. The action led to the inability of Labour Party and campaign officials, who had already gathered at Lagos and Abuja Airports, to attend the Ibadan rally.
“All we know is what the leasing vendor told us to the effect that “Federal authorities won’t allow the Obidient Aircraft to file a flight plan, because of ongoing regulatory investigations.”
“We are not privy to the specific details or nature of the investigations. Mischievous political operatives had cheaply seized the opportunity to spread the unfounded rumours of an air crash which was promptly dispelled. The Ibadan rally was however a huge success with the Labour Party Presidential Candidate, Mr. Peter Obi, making a stop at Iseyin Town before joining a multitude of organic supporters at the Lekan Salami Stadium, Adamasingba, Ibadan.”
PDP no longer a national party, needs total rebirth – Chidoka
Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), has lost the status of a national party, for a regional outfit, Osita Chidoka, Former Minister of Aviation, said on Monday, warning that this situation could worsen if the party failed to win back the North in the 2023 elections.
Chidoka, also former Corp Mashal of the Federal Road Safety Commission (FRSC), said during an appearance on Channels Television’s breakfast programme, Sunrise Daily, that the former ruling party for 16 years, but now the nation’s main opposition lost the status gradually over the years.
He argued that the only way to go was for the party, which controlled power in many states of the North and South, which made it a national party at inception, gradually ceded the status, when it began losing many states in the North, saying the situation must be reversed.
The only way to do that he maintained was for the party to maintain power in the South South and South East, and focus on North, which he said must be its priority in the coming elections, where Atiku Abubakar, former Vice President, from the North is now the presidential candidate of the party.
His words: “The challenge is understanding the future of the party. PDP is going through a serious metamorphosis. In 1999, PDP was a national party made up of the North and the South East and the South South. In 2003, that changed, PDP became a South West, South East, South South, Middle Belt and some northern states party. By 2011, the country had divided into two, and PDP had become a southern party more or less, losing all the northern states in the presidential election.
“By 2015, we had lost including the middle belt, and the PDP was relegated almost to the South East and the south-south. What we have now in the PDP is what I called a northern strategy. Restoring PDP as a national platform that cuts across its base in the South East and South South and cuts across the North. Without us winning back the North into the PDP as a party, we will not be able to remain a viable national platform.
“What is at stake today is the mechanism of doing that. That ability to win back the North into the fold of the PDP must not be at the expense of losing our base. So, it is that conversation that is going on within the PDP. I believe we will find a middle ground in that.”
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